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Weekly Political Compass 5.19.25

Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Romania’s consequential presidential election result. Meanwhile, the EU and the UK reach a new deal, China imposes fresh tariff duties on the U.S. and others, and…

May 19, 2025
By Wolfango Piccoli & Andrius Tursa
Weathering the Longest Storm Weathering the Longest Storm As we enter the 8th week of lockdown in the UK, the intensity of the first phase of the crisis has peaked and the consequence of tactical exhaustion – as businesses have dealt with only the most pressing and most urgent - is starting to play out. Behaviours have become… May 15, 2020
Chile: Battling Covid-19 Resurgence as Crisis Stirs Deeper Political Questions Chile: Battling Covid-19 Resurgence as Crisis Stirs Deeper Political Questions A surge in new Covid-19 cases centered on the Metropolitan Region (RM) of Santiago has forced the government to reverse its limited lockdown easing measures. As previously discussed, the U-turn demonstrates what can happen when Covid-19 hits higher-density populations, as well as the need for clear communication from a… May 15, 2020
Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Recording and Transcript from 5.14.20 Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Recording and Transcript from 5.14.20 Jerome Hauer, Ph.D and Patricia Russo, Teneo Senior Advisor and Chairman of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the latest updates regarding the effects of Coronavirus on the U.S. economy and the fallout from the reopening of businesses in Asia. Kevin Kajiawara (KK): Good day, everyone. Welcome to… May 14, 2020
Coronavirus: UK/EMEA Weekly Update – Call Briefing and Recording from 5.13.20 Coronavirus: UK/EMEA Weekly Update – Call Briefing and Recording from 5.13.20 Below please find key take-outs from our May 13th senior panel with Matthew d'Ancona, Editor and Partner at Tortoise Media and columnist at the Evening Standard; Victor Yang, global Director of Corporate Affairs at Geely; Amber Rudd, Teneo Senior Adviser and former Home Secretary; Wolfango Piccoli, Co-President of Teneo’s Risk… May 13, 2020
The Changing Geopolitics of the COVID-19 Pandemic – Oriel Morrison, Former Anchor at CNBC International The Changing Geopolitics of the COVID-19 Pandemic – Oriel Morrison, Former Anchor at CNBC International We had the pleasure of hosting a virtual discussion with Oriel Morrison, former anchor at CNBC International and one of Asia’s most well-known business journalists. For the past 12 years, she anchored top rating CNBC shows Squawk Box and Street Signs. Oriel also provided on the ground coverage of breaking… May 13, 2020
The Future of the NHS – ‘Peering Into the Fog’ The Future of the NHS – ‘Peering Into the Fog’ Sir David Dalton discusses with Ed Matthews his views on the impact of COVID-19 on the NHS. A lot has been asked of the NHS – it has risen to the challenge of Phase 1 of the crisis and in so doing it has revealed fragilities; and yet so much… May 12, 2020
Macro: Updated Summary of Lockdown Exit Strategies Macro: Updated Summary of Lockdown Exit Strategies In this updated summary table, we provide an overview of the lockdown exit strategies currently being implemented by selected countries around the world, and the surrounding politics. Please click on the download button below to see the table. Do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any… May 11, 2020
UK Rail: The Route out of Lockdown UK Rail: The Route out of Lockdown As the UK Government announces the first stages of a plan for the relaxation of lockdown, the country can begin to plot a gradual return to economic and social activity. But until there is a vaccine, the route out of lockdown will be based on minimising the risks of COVID-19… May 10, 2020
Poland: Awaiting a Presidential Election That Will Not Happen Poland: Awaiting a Presidential Election That Will Not Happen The 10 May presidential election has not been canceled, but no voting will take place on the scheduled date. This should lead to a presidential poll entirely held by postal ballot in the coming few months, although the process and timeline are unclear. The ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party… May 8, 2020
Responding to Covid-19: Demand Recovery Responding to Covid-19: Demand Recovery Aviation travel is significantly restricted by border closures and travel restrictions. The demand recovery trajectory is uncertain due to potentially extended travel restrictions but also economic impact and behavioral changes in customer travel. Optimizing capacity allocation during the ramp up period and longer term will be critical to financial recovery. May 7, 2020
Teneo Aviation Toolkit: Developing a Digital Covid-19 Response Teneo Aviation Toolkit: Developing a Digital Covid-19 Response Airlines need to become more agile to manage recovery and thrive in the “new normal” post crisis. While airlines normally operate in a volatile environment with capacity fluctuations, fuel price spikes, and demand swings, they will have to get used to an environment far more volatile than before. Second and… May 7, 2020
Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Recording and Transcript from 5.7.20 Coronavirus: A Weekly Update from Teneo – Call Recording and Transcript from 5.7.20 Jerome Hauer, Ph.D and Lord Davies of Abersoch join Kevin Kajiwara to discuss the latest updates regarding the Coronavirus and the possible reopening and restarting of economies. Kevin Kajiwara (KK): Well, good day everyone, and welcome to our Teneo Insights conference call. I'm Kevin Kajiwara, Co-President of Teneo Political Risk… May 7, 2020