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What to Watch in 2024: Outlooks for the Year Ahead from Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team

Foreword The Global Year Ahead The events of 2023 suggest that the global system has entered an intense period of structural transition that will reorder geopolitics and reshape the international business environment in fundamental ways. Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, frozen conflicts have reignited in places like Israel/Gaza and Nagorno-Karabakh,…

December 6, 2023
By Kevin Kajiwara, Wolfango Piccoli, Anne Frühauf, Emily Stromquist, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady, Arpit Chaturvedi, Antonio Barroso, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Shamaila Ashraf, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, Jon B. Alterman, Meghan McDonough, James Crossland & Orson Porter
Tokyo,,Japan,Cityscape,On,The,Imperial,Moat,With,The,NationalWeekly Political Compass 12.4.23 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at an evolving political funding scandal in Japan. Meanwhile, Chinese health officials have commented on a surge in respiratory illness, the budget crisis continues… December 4, 2023
Aerial,Top,View,Forest,Tree,,Rainforest,Ecosystem,And,Healthy,EnvironmentCOP28: What Business Leaders Need to Know and What Chief Sustainability Officers are Thinking With COP28 kicking off last Thursday, there are some considerations that executives should keep in mind as the event continues over the next week. What Business Leaders Need to Know About COP28 The private sector has a key role to play in accelerating decarbonization, particularly regarding collaboration across businesses, as… December 4, 2023
Application,Of,Smartphone,With,Business,Graph,And,Analytics,Data,OnTeneo ’23 & ESG Series: Three Key Design Trends in 2023 Sustainability Reports This is the fourth report in Teneo’s ’23 & ESG Series analyzing 250 sustainability reports published by S&P 500 companies between January 1-June 30, 2023 (“2023 sustainability reports”). Other reports in the series highlight the top 10 takeaways and key statistics of 2023 sustainability reports,… December 1, 2023
Drone,Aerial,Birds,Eye,View,Of,A,Large,Green,GrassTeneo U.S. ESG Roundup 11.30.23 This spotlight explores key ESG-related market developments and their implications for corporates and investors. ESG in the News State Street Global Advisors announced it will offer investors a new company board-aligned voting policy option to further expand investor choice. The Vote with Company Board Recommendation Policy provides… November 30, 2023
Jakarta,Officially,The,Special,Capital,Region,Of,Jakarta,,Is,TheWeekly Political Compass 11.27.23 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Indonesia’s looming election campaign. Meanwhile, Vietnam’s president is visiting Japan, Italy’s modified recovery plan received the green light from Brussels, Argentina’s president-elect is… November 27, 2023
Cape,Town,City,Cbd,Skylines,At,Night,Just,After,SunsetWeekly Political Compass 11.20.23 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at South Africa severing diplomatic ties with Israel. Meanwhile, a deal between Taiwan’s two main opposition parties is in danger, voters are going to… November 20, 2023
Wind,Turbines,About,50,Miles,North,Of,The,Texas,Border,Teneo U.S. ESG Roundup 11.16.23 This spotlight explores key ESG-related market developments and their implications for corporates and investors. ESG in the News The California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) announced its Sustainable Investment 2030 Strategy, which will more than double its climate-focused investments to $100B by 2030 and cut in half its portfolio’s… November 16, 2023
London,Cityscape,With,Houses,Of,Parliament,And,Big,Ben,TowerUK: Implications of Sunak’s Cabinet Reshuffle Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has reshuffled his cabinet in what is likely to be the last major change of the Conservative front bench ahead of the general election expected before the end of 2024. The return of former prime minister David Cameron as foreign secretary came as a major surprise. November 13, 2023
2022-10-09,Kyiv,,Ukraine.,Beautiful,Panoramic,View,Of,The,Historical,DistrictUkraine/EU: A Symbolic Step Forward in a Long Journey Toward EU Membership A recommendation by the European Commission (EC) to start EU accession talks is a symbolic move that heightens optimism in Ukraine about the country’s future amid Russia’s devastating invasion. The launch of the talks would put Kyiv on a long-term reform pathway and could become a unifying objective for pro-Western… November 13, 2023
Ponte,De,La,Mujer,Buenos,AieresWeekly Political Compass 11.13.23 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Argentina’s presidential elections. Meanwhile, the presidents of China and the U.S. will meet, a former PM returns as British foreign secretary, Brazil is… November 13, 2023
Tokyo,Aerial,Photography,By,DroneWeekly Political Compass 11.6.23 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at G7 debates over the situation in the Middle East. Meanwhile, US and Chinese diplomats held meetings, the European Commission will issue its assessment… November 6, 2023
Offshore,Windmill,Park,With,Clouds,And,A,Blue,Sky,,WindmillTeneo U.S. ESG Roundup 11.3.23 This spotlight explores key ESG-related market developments and their implications for corporates and investors. Teneo published our annual study of proxy season trends, entitled: 2023 Proxy Season Review: Institutional Investor Expectations in a Divided World. In addition to covering recent proxy voting trends, the report looks at… November 3, 2023
Binnenhof,Castle,(dutch,Parliament),Cityscape,Downtown,Skyline,Of,Hague,InNetherlands: Ahead of Elections, a Dominant but Fragmented Political Right With less than three weeks to go until the 22 November general elections, fragmentation remains the name of the game in Dutch politics. However, despite a complicated political landscape with up to 18 parties currently expected to be represented in the 150-seat lower house of parliament, some overall trends will… November 3, 2023
View,Of,Cape,Town,At,Dawn,,South,AfricaWeekly Political Compass 10.30.23 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at South Africa’s fiscal outlook. Meanwhile, US-China relations show signs of improvement, early elections are ahead in Serbia, high-level horse trading will continue in… October 30, 2023