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Global Newsletter & Insights Series
A motion of censure will be voted in the National Assembly (AN) on 4 December. Barring an (unlikely) last-minute deal, Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s minority government is set to lose, forcing him to tender his resignation to President Emmanuel Macron. Last-minute Offers Barnier triggered article 49.3 of the constitution after…
President Yoon Suk-yeol’s declaration of martial law in a late-night television address on 3 December was a black-swan event. Tensions had been building across the political spectrum in recent weeks, including separate scandals related to opposition Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung and President Yoon’s wife Kim Keon-hee. Yet the sudden…
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Romania’s geopolitically consequential elections. Elsewhere, France holds a key vote related to the budget, the Mercosur summit kicks off at a sensitive time for global trade…
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at EU-China trade tensions. Meanwhile, political reforms are on the agenda in Japan and Brazil, while the first-round result of Romania’s presidential election has raised questions of…
After a much-anticipated election cycle in the U.S., Republicans will take over the White House and control both chambers of Congress. This shift in power will significantly impact ESG initiatives. While it is too early to determine precisely what those impacts will be, we present our view of the most…
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at the G20 Summit in Brazil. Meanwhile, China sent a message to the incoming Trump administration, the Bank of Japan is pondering another rate hike, and Russia…
Introduction While U.S. regulators seem to be easing enforcement on misleading sustainability disclosures—evidenced by the SEC’s recent disbandment of its ESG enforcement task force—Canadian regulators are becoming more aggressive. Regulatory scrutiny of “greenwashing” has increased significantly in Canada. What was once an opportunity for Canadian companies to freely promote their…
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Japan’s new minority government. Meanwhile, China has enacted a limited economic package, and the Philippines has passed laws re-asserting sovereignty in disputed parts of the South…
Section 01: Executive Summary This week, Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered Labour’s first budget in 14 years, kickstarting the age of big spending by government. The Labour Government embarked on a bold new strategy in this week’s Budget. Against a backdrop of low growth and lower fiscal revenues, Chancellor Rachel Reeves…
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Germany’s coalition troubles. Meanwhile, Japan’s ruling LDP is trying to form a minority administration, France’s junior trade minister is in China, and Moldova’s re-elected president is…
In the early morning of 27 October, the Israeli Air Force conducted a retaliatory strike for Iran’s 1 October missile salvo that targeted Israel. The IAF took out air defense batteries and radars in Iran, in addition to in Iraq and Syria, significantly weakening key Iranian air defense capabilities and…
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at the general election outcome in Japan. Meanwhile, the U.S. has approved new missile and radar sales to Taiwan, Georgia may see protests following alleged election irregularities,…
As the U.S. election enters its final 13-day stretch, the political and security landscape continue to be shaped by a confluence of complex and potentially volatile factors, creating a highly charged and unpredictable environment for November 5th and the days and weeks following. Given this environment, and as a follow…
As the Israel-Hamas conflict enters its second year, the military escalation between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, along with increasing tensions between Iran and Israel, is likely to drive an increase in cyber operations from Iran, its proxies and other hacktivist groups. As highlighted in our September cybersecurity…
