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Russia/Ukraine: Renewed Conflict With Ukraine Would Bring Few Benefits to Moscow

Russia’s saber-rattling near Donbas and Crimea is likely driven by Kyiv’s actions against pro-Kremlin figures/entities in Ukraine, the growing tensions between Moscow and the West as well as domestic pressures within Russia. However, a major escalation of the conflict with Ukraine would likely bring more damage than benefit to Moscow.

April 9, 2021