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Global Newsletter & Insights Series
This week, Gustavo Petro will be inaugurated as Colombia’s first left-wing president. One of Petro’s first measures will be to restore diplomatic relations with Venezuela. In Argentina, Sergio Massa takes the helm of economic policymaking. Meanwhile in Chile, a “plan B” in case the constitutional draft ends up being rejected…
This week, US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s trip to Asia has irked Beijing. Colombia’s first ever leftist president will be inaugurated. Zambia’s debt outlook may be improving. Meanwhile, Turkey’s President Tayyip Erdoğan will meet Russia’s Vladimir Putin. Also this week, parliamentary election results in Senegal could spark protests. Chart of…
Our bi-weekly spotlight explores key ESG-related market developments and their implications for corporates and investors. ESG in the News Last night, U.S. Senators Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) announced an agreement…
As Russian gas deliveries via Nord Stream 1 have been reduced to 20%, a gas rationing scenario is becoming ever more likely in winter. This situation poses questions not just about the management of limited gas supplies, but also regarding domestic support measures and German strategy towards the Ukraine war.
US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s potential visit to Taiwan in August is developing into a perfect storm for aggravating US-China bilateral tension. The Biden administration privately opposes Pelosi's visit but must avoid the appearance of pressuring her to cancel, which would create the appearance of bowing to Beijing's intimidation. If…
As the Conservative membership ballot gets underway, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss appears to have a significant lead over Chancellor Rishi Sunak in early polling of party members. The contest takes place against a backdrop of rising energy, food and fuel costs, with the soaring cost of living representing the government’s…
We are facing a period of uncertainty without much comparison to past inflationary eras. Left unmanaged, we anticipate 400-700 basis points in margin risk by 2024 against the record profit in 2021. Navigating the uncertainty ahead requires taking proactive measures to position for strategic growth opportunities. Major corporations provide useful…
Despite Russian missile strikes, Ukraine is preparing for grain exports from its three Black Sea ports. China is warning of the US House Speaker’s potential trip to Taiwan. Ghana’s finance minister will try to assuage public concern about an IMF program. South Africa’s ruling party will hold its national policy…
On 20 July, the European Commission published the ‘Save Gas for a Safe Energy Winter’ plan, a set of recommendations to mitigate the impact of a possible natural gas supply cut-off by Russia. The communication asks for immediate market and non-market-based demand-side measures to free up gas volumes. Moreover, it…
With his government's fate in limbo, Prime Minister Mario Draghi is under growing pressure to stay in office instead of resigning as he tried to do last week after lawmakers from the Five Star Movement (M5S) walked out of the Senate ahead a critical vote on the so-called “Decreto…
EU foreign ministers are discussing new sanctions against Russia. Chinese regulators are calling on banks to support housing developers. Italy's prime minister might confirm his resignation. Sri Lanka’s parliament will elect a new president. The IMF’s next disbursement to Kenya is scheduled to take place today. Meanwhile, Thailand’s parliament will…
Homebuyers in at least 80 cities have halted mortgage payments to protest housing developers' stalled progress on finishing construction of pre-sold apartments. In a worst-case scenario, the issue could trigger systemic financial risk and social instability, given housing's role as a bedrock of the broader financial system. But our base…
