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Global Newsletter & Insights Series
The opposition leader Nikol Pashinian has increased pressure on the ruling Republican Party of Armenia (HHK) by calling a general strike ahead of his second attempt to become prime minister on 8 May. The probability of early elections in the coming months is high, and the snap polls would likely…
As expected, the National Assembly failed to meet the self-imposed deadline to pass the 2018 budget on 24 April. This date was announced on 21 March by the National Assembly leadership, but signs had emerged shortly afterwards that the target was untenable. Looking ahead, the base case remains that –…
Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan has announced snap presidential and parliamentary elections for 24 June 2018. The uncertainty of the country’s economic outlook and a desire to catch opposition parties off guard are probably behind the president’s change of mind. Erdogan’s likely victory is unlikely to bring political stability or be…
A discussion between Teneo Senior Advisor and Director of the Carnegie-Tsinghua Center in Beijing, China, Paul Haenle and Kevin Kajiwara, Co-Head of Teneo Intelligence. Teneo Senior Advisor Paul Haenle, former China Director and White House representative to the Six-Party Talks on the National Security Council staffs of former presidents George…
Turnout is the key; for now, the consensus is that the opposition’s dysfunction will result in a lower number compared to 2013, which will help the ruling National Front keep its parliamentary majority. If there are signs that the youth and ethnic Chinese and Indians are becoming more active, then…
Martin Vizcarra has had a reasonably successful first few days in the presidency since he replaced Pedro Pablo Kuczynski on 23 March. Yesterday, 2 April, Vizcarra unveiled his new cabinet, which will be headed by Cesar Villanueva of the opposition Alliance for Progress (APP) party, who previously occupied the cabinet…
The arrest of former First Minister Carles Puigdemont in Germany on 25 March has galvanized once again the Catalan pro-independence movement, adding to the increased mobilization triggered by the jailing of five secessionist politicians on 23 March. However, the display of unity by separatist parties is unlikely to lead to an…
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s approval ratings tumbled in a series of polls conducted over the weekend, highlighting the extent to which the reemergence of the Moritomo Gakuen scandal has critically undermined support for his government. While many Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) supporters continue to stand by the prime minister, Abe’s…
The presidential election will take place this Sunday, 18 March. While President Vladimir Putin’s electoral victory is a foregone conclusion, the Kremlin is keen to boost electoral turnout to increase legitimacy. Putin’s recent speech to the to the Federal Assembly was intended to drum up voters’ participation by invoking national…
The opposition Fuerza Popular (FP) party led by Keiko Fujimori in the early hours of 8 March confirmed its unanimous support for President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski’s impeachment. Four FP legislators added their support to an impeachment motion activated by smaller opposition parties. The motion now has more than the 26…
The Abe administration is on the defensive after reports emerged of irregularities in the data used to justify its pending reforms to Japan’s regulations regarding flexible working hours. Arguing that the government’s proposals are based on false pretenses, opposition parties have called for the administration to withdraw its legislation. While…
A discussion between Dr. Martha Carter, Head of Teneo Governance and Sean Quinn, Senior Vice President with Teneo Governance. Moderated by Kevin Kajiwara, Co-Head of Teneo Intelligence. Dr. Martha Carter and Sean Quinn discuss significant developments in corporate governance, drawing on their decades of proxy advisory experience to…
