Gabriel is a Managing Director focusing on political risk analysis in China. He was previously Shanghai Bureau Chief for the Financial Times, where he covered China’s macro-economy, financial system, and markets.
Prior to the Financial Times, Gabriel served as the China Finance Correspondent and Markets Correspondent for Reuters, where he wrote daily reports on China’s interbank foreign exchange and money markets. He also worked as a research analyst for SK Group China and as the Beijing bureau chief for GaveKal-Dragonomics, a macro-economic consultancy. He graduated magna cum laude from Brown University and is fluent in Mandarin.
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From China to India: How Geopolitics and Growth Are Reshaping Strategy
As geopolitical risk, supply chain resilience and growth divergence reshape global strategy, CEOs are reassessing long-held assumptions about where to invest, manufacture and scale. Drawing on our Vision 2026 CEO and Investor Outlook Survey, this analysis explores why many global companies increasingly view India as a strategic complement or…
February 4, 2026 - By Gabriel Wildau, Arpit Chaturvedi
Weekly Political Compass 9.15.25
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we take a closer look at the U.S.-China trade talks. Elsewhere, the U.S. and South Korea struggle to finalize an investment deal, U.S. President Donald Trump makes a state visit to the UK,…
September 15, 2025 - By Gabriel Wildau
What to Watch in 2025: Outlooks for the Year Ahead From Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team
Foreword: The Global Year Ahead As the dust settles on a momentous U.S. election and the incoming administration takes shape, the geopolitical landscape for 2025 is already coming into focus. Against this backdrop, our team of analysts once again explores the critical global trends and regional hotspots demanding attention in…
December 10, 2024 - By Kevin Kajiwara, Manji Cheto, Anne Frühauf, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady, Arpit Chaturvedi, Emily Stromquist, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Meghan McDonough, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, James Crossland, Nate Tamarin
What to Watch in 2024: Outlooks for the Year Ahead from Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team
Foreword The Global Year Ahead The events of 2023 suggest that the global system has entered an intense period of structural transition that will reorder geopolitics and reshape the international business environment in fundamental ways. Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, frozen conflicts have reignited in places like Israel/Gaza and Nagorno-Karabakh,…
December 6, 2023 - By Kevin Kajiwara, Anne Frühauf, Emily Stromquist, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady, Arpit Chaturvedi, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, Meghan McDonough, James Crossland, Orson Porter
China/Philippines: South China Sea Conflict Risk Still Low, but Rising
Two collisions in disputed waters highlight the longer-term trend of increased assertiveness by both Manila and Beijing in their attempts to assert sovereignty. The risk continues to be of a miscalculation, not intentional escalation; both sides will try to avoid an "armed attack" that would invoke the US-Philippines Mutual Defense…
October 26, 2023 - By Gabriel Wildau, Bob Herrera-Lim
Asia: How the Rise in Conflicts Globally Impacts Asia’s Hotspots
Growing incidences of conflicts globally raise questions about the effects on Asia, which has some of the world’s most significant geopolitical hotspots. Below, we examine how dynamics in East and Southeast Asia are being influenced by broader global events, for worse or (sometimes) better. The basic takeaway is that there…
October 17, 2023 - By James Brady, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Victor D. Cha
Weekly Political Compass 9.18.23
Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at the EU’s investigation into Chinese EV subsidies. Meanwhile, monetary policy change looks unlikely in Japan, the leaders of Turkey and Greece will…
September 18, 2023 - By Gabriel Wildau
What to Watch in 2023: Outlooks for the Year Ahead from Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team
A year ago, political, corporate and market leaders across the globe contemplated what the buildup of Russian forces along Ukraine’s borders would portend. While the U.S. administration and intelligence community warned that a Russian invasion was likely, many corporate leaders and market participants were nevertheless taken by surprise when it…
December 14, 2022 - By Kevin Kajiwara, Anne Frühauf, James Brady, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Emily Stromquist, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, Meghan McDonough
EU/China: Hawks on the Rise, but no Decoupling in Sight
The divisions between hawks and doves continue to complicate a common EU policy towards China, but even dovish member states such as France and Germany are struggling to develop a joint strategic approach. The deterioration of the EU-China relationship in the last few months has not had severe material implications…
October 31, 2022 - By Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Gabriel Wildau