Andrius Tursa: Central & Eastern Europe Advisor

Andrius Tursa

Central & Eastern Europe Advisor

Andrius Tursa helps Teneo’s clients navigate political risks in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia.

Andrius has been working as a political risk consultant since 2012. Some of his previous clients include Eurasia Group, IHS Markit, Fitch Solutions and the Economist Intelligence Unit. Andrius is also an experienced labor market policy researcher and evaluator. In 2017, he co-founded Lithuania-based research and consulting company Policy Impact Lab.

Andrius has a master’s degree in global governance and diplomacy from the University of Oxford and holds an honors bachelor’s degree in international development from the University of California, Los Angeles. Currently, he is based in Vilnius, Lithuania.

Related Insights

Weekly Political Compass 10.20.25 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we take a closer look at the latest developments in negotiations to end Russia’s war in Ukraine. Elsewhere, Japan’s National Diet is set to select its first female prime minister, U.S.-China trade talks…

October 20, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

EU/Russia: Momentum Building for Significant New Sanctions on Moscow On 19 September, the European Commission (EC) unveiled its 19th sanctions package on Russia, primarily targeting Moscow’s energy export revenues. Political momentum is also building to halt Russian pipeline oil imports to the EU and expand the use of frozen Russian sovereign assets in Europe. If adopted, the new sanctions…

September 23, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

Weekly Political Compass 9.22.25 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. With extensive diplomacy unfolding on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York this week, we take a closer look at the expected meeting between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. Elsewhere, leaders from…

September 22, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

Russia/Ukraine: Conflict Moving Towards Escalation, Not Resolution Russia’s largest drone and missile strike on Ukraine on 7 September signals that the war is moving toward further military escalation. Divergent strategic interests make a lasting diplomatic resolution between the Putin and Zelensky administrations highly unlikely. Additional Western sanctions on Russia might increasingly target third countries seen as supporting…

September 9, 2025
By Andrius Tursa, Emily Stromquist

Weekly Political Compass 5.19.25 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Romania’s consequential presidential election result. Meanwhile, the EU and the UK reach a new deal, China imposes fresh tariff duties on the U.S. and others, and…

May 19, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

Weekly Political Compass 3.10.25 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at the U.S.-Ukraine talks in Saudi Arabia. Elsewhere, China announces new tariffs on Canada, Mexico is celebrating a temporary reprieve of U.S. tariffs, and a decision is…

March 10, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

CEE: Risks of a bad deal for Ukraine—and Europe An unfavorable ceasefire deal would leave Ukraine without robust security guarantees, ease sanctions on Russia and accommodate Moscow’s demands for a new European security framework. Despite limited leverage, Kyiv would not automatically approve a deal that effectively amounts to its surrender. A bad deal would heighten the risk of renewed…

February 20, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

Weekly Political Compass 2.10.25 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at the possibility that the U.S. could broker a Russia/Ukraine ceasefire. Meanwhile, China’s vice premier will promote AI cooperation in France, Germany’s election race remains tight, and…

February 10, 2025
By Andrius Tursa

What to Watch in 2025: Outlooks for the Year Ahead From Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team Foreword: The Global Year Ahead As the dust settles on a momentous U.S. election and the incoming administration takes shape, the geopolitical landscape for 2025 is already coming into focus. Against this backdrop, our team of analysts once again explores the critical global trends and regional hotspots demanding attention in…

December 10, 2024
By Kevin Kajiwara, Manji Cheto, Anne Frühauf, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady, Arpit Chaturvedi, Emily Stromquist, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Meghan McDonough, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, James Crossland, Nate Tamarin

Weekly Political Compass 12.2.24 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Romania’s geopolitically consequential elections. Elsewhere, France holds a key vote related to the budget, the Mercosur summit kicks off at a sensitive time for global trade…

December 2, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Weekly Political Compass 10.21.24 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Russia hosting an expanded BRICS summit. Meanwhile, Japan will hold a general election, while tensions are high on the Korean border. Georgia's general election could determine…

October 21, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Weekly Political Compass 9.23.24 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at Ukraine’s so-called victory plan. Meanwhile, Japan’s ruling party will elect its new leader and prime minister, the far right might win the Austrian general election, and…

September 23, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

CEE: What to Expect from the NATO Summit Continued support to Ukraine will be the most urgent priority during the NATO summit taking place on 9-11 July in Washington, DC. However, Ukraine will not be invited to join NATO, nor is it likely to receive credible long-term support guarantees required to prevail in the war against Russia. Despite…

July 9, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Russia: First Policies of Putin’s New Term Shaping Up A reshuffle of senior defense officials and the proposed tax hikes suggest President Vladimir Putin’s efforts to sustain the war in Ukraine and develop the country’s military capabilities in the medium-to-long term. Asset takeovers have become relatively common and will remain a pertinent risk for domestic and Western (especially the…

June 4, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Ukraine: Renewed U.S. Support Averts Potential Defeat but Outlook Remains Cloudy Following the passage of the USD 61bn support package for Ukraine by the House of Representatives on 20 April, Kyiv is anticipating the legislation will be adopted by the US Senate and signed by President Joe Biden this week. Renewed US military support will shore up Ukraine’s defensive capabilities and…

April 23, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Weekly Political Compass 2.20.24 Welcome to this edition of the Weekly Political Compass from Teneo’s political risk advisory team. This week, we are taking a closer look at new EU sanctions on Russia. Meanwhile, Thailand’s former prime minister was released from jail, the European Commission president is seeking a second term, Brazil’s president has…

February 20, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Ukraine: Growing Military Challenges Test Public and Political Unity Public resilience is gradually eroding and will be further tested by unpopular mobilization plans, uncertainty about external military assistance and the worsening situation on the frontlines. Unless military support from the US is renewed in the near term, Russia’s military advantage will grow and might result in new territorial advances.

February 9, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

Europe: Even Before U.S. Polls, A Complicated Outlook for Ukraine Support If at the 1-2 February European Council, Hungary maintains its veto, the remaining 26 EU members will act alone to support Ukraine with a four-year EUR 50bn macro-financial support package. The biggest signpost for future support to Ukraine is the US election, but given the knock-on effects of the geopolitical…

January 30, 2024
By Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa

Russia/Ukraine: Conflict Still not Ripe for Talks The fourth Ukraine peace formula meeting in Davos once again exposed vast differences between Kyiv and Moscow on the format and content of any future negotiations. At this point, there is little public and political will in Ukraine to open talks with Russia, but the situation might change later in…

January 16, 2024
By Andrius Tursa

What to Watch in 2024: Outlooks for the Year Ahead from Teneo’s Geopolitical Risk Team Foreword The Global Year Ahead The events of 2023 suggest that the global system has entered an intense period of structural transition that will reorder geopolitics and reshape the international business environment in fundamental ways. Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, frozen conflicts have reignited in places like Israel/Gaza and Nagorno-Karabakh,…

December 6, 2023
By Kevin Kajiwara, Anne Frühauf, Emily Stromquist, Victor D. Cha, Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, James Brady, Arpit Chaturvedi, Carsten Nickel, Andrius Tursa, Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson, Meghan McDonough, James Crossland, Orson Porter

Ukraine/EU: A Symbolic Step Forward in a Long Journey Toward EU Membership A recommendation by the European Commission (EC) to start EU accession talks is a symbolic move that heightens optimism in Ukraine about the country’s future amid Russia’s devastating invasion. The launch of the talks would put Kyiv on a long-term reform pathway and could become a unifying objective for pro-Western…